Improvement of water level forecasts for tidal harbours by means of model output statistics (MOS)

Datum 01.06.2010

Berichte des Bundesamtes für Seeschifffahrt und Hydrographie Nr. 47/2010

Part I (Skew surge forecast)

The model output statistics (MOS) method has been used successfully in meteorological forecasting since the 1970s. Up to now, this method has never been used to predict water levels on marine coasts. On the example of the German tidal harbour of Cuxhaven, located on the mouth of the river Elbe downstream of Hamburg, it is demonstrated how the quality of predictions can be improved by applying the MOS method. This also opens up new possibilities for automated water level forecasting.

Autoren: Sylvin H. Müller-Navarra, Klaus Knüpffer
Erscheinungsjahr: 2010
ISSN: 0946-6010